G
Forecasted Win Probability
Barry Moore
Everett Wess
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 47.00% |
| Everett Wess | 32.00% |
| Other Option | 21.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 43.00% |
| Jared Hudson | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 22.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Barry Moore | $5,787,768 | $5,161,818 | $16,416,708 | $3,019 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Barry Moore | $5,012,289 | $4,514,106 | $12,676,849 | - | PRE-RUN-OFF | 5/27/2026 |
 Everett Wess | $83,341 | $94,747 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Everett Wess | $73,770 | $75,165 | - | - | PRE-RUN-OFF | 5/27/2026 |
