G
Forecasted Win Probability
Maria Salazar
Eliott Rodriguez
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maria Salazar | 46.00% |
| Eliott Rodriguez | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 11.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Daniella Levine Cava | 44.00% |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 14.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Elvira Salazar | $1,999,399 | $1,150,679 | $71,252 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/29/2026 |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | $1,951,030 | $1,095,254 | $71,252 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | $1,373,240 | $846,728 | $71,252 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
 Eliott Rodriguez | $661,173 | $336,076 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/29/2026 |
