G
Forecasted Win Probability
Matt Little
Eric Pratt
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Matthew Klein | 42.60% |
| Eric Pratt | 41.50% |
| Other Option | 15.90% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Little | $923,277 | $796,236 | $130,395 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/22/2026 |
| Matt Little | $892,676 | $638,388 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Matt Little | $716,807 | $418,219 | - | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
| Tyler Kistner | $427,440 | $427,591 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Tyler Kistner | $415,619 | $388,096 | - | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
