G
Forecasted Win Probability
Diana Harshbarger
Kristi Burke
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | |||
Republican | |||
| Democrat | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Diana Harshbarger | $1,274,194 | $739,900 | $13,797 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/17/2026 |
| Diana Harshbarger | $1,228,936 | $676,913 | $5,280 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Diana Harshbarger | $945,558 | $591,911 | $5,280 | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
 Kristi Burke | $101,984 | $87,877 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/17/2026 |
| Kristi Burke | $92,445 | $69,983 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Kristi Burke | $53,773 | $26,240 | - | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
